Formal Reference Model · Full Paper

Machine-Initiated Consequence Reference Model (MICRM)

Formal Semantics for Authority, Accountability, and Evidentiary Warrant in Machine-Initiated Consequence Attribution.

Status Frozen · presentation successor Validation 11 sealed variants · 12 rule defects found Type Expository paper (spec is normative, cited by hash)

Abstract

The Machine-Initiated Consequence Reference Model (MICRM) is a formal reference model for analyzing candidate attribution in machine-initiated consequences through consequence structure, authority and accountability closure, and evidentiary warrant. MICRM is designed for cross-substrate application, but this revision does not establish substrate neutrality; applicability requires substrate-specific validation.

The model separates two dimensions that natural language tends to merge. A structural relation between occurrences — that a traversal is materially ancestral to a consequence target, that authority and accountability terminate at the same principal, that a contribution class attaches at a locus — is established independently of the evidentiary warrant for asserting it. Support is evaluated per basis and relative to the principal a proposition would advance, so a record may corroborate one finding and merely assert another. Where MICRM licenses negative inference from absence, it requires completeness over the relevant named population, and the trust root at which the support recursion terminates declares its assumptions rather than concealing them.

MICRM's outputs are candidacy and structural findings, not liability. Unresolved evidence is not converted into an exculpatory finding.

An independently authored challenge process applied sealed incident patterns against frozen specification bytes and identified twelve rule defects, none of which was found by the project's own self-check. A substantial portion of the model remains untested, and the validation chapter names those surfaces individually.


Contribution

MICRM does not claim novelty for defeasible reasoning, completeness-gated inference, delegation chains, evidentiary provenance, or multi-model quantification individually.

MICRM operationalizes existing concerns from several literatures for machine-initiated consequence attribution, with explicit interfaces among material consequence structure, authority/accountability closure, class-sensitive candidacy, and evidentiary warrant.

A related-work analysis, frozen before the prose was written, entered six candidate contribution claims; none survives as a novelty claim. Three design differences are retained, each with its status stated: beneficiary-relative independence as the mechanization of a known doctrine; relation/support separation as a weakly attributed design difference; and dual authority/accountability termination comparison as a difference addressing a gap the neighbouring literature states as open.


The two artifacts

This paper is expository. The formal semantics are normative and are carried by a separate specification, cited here by version and hash. Where the two disagree, the specification governs and this paper is defective.

SPECIFICATION, formal semantics D1-D30
  Block 1  graph and consequence model
           3b850a77a1e199a5f5c45b50d85f284353f770fbebb6deb43a53d4d5e9e391c1
  Block 2  root, closure and candidacy
           44b780353674c0202e004362e1613dc513c39cf4a0658caac2b4310ce333be64
  Block 3  attachment, propagation and exclusion
           f5ec01de7e4dfb5d81b7b506e7ceb680f2bfcb1a79376456ffee2f5f66c71cb8
  Block 4  burdens, classes, conflicts and independence
           cbae193958c20f9cd01c142cfb18e10881a21b126da4881b884a6cb140a8f1bc

No normative content exists only in this paper.


Reproducibility

The validation record specifies how to reproduce each derivation from its sealed fact pattern and the rule-byte generations named in that derivation. The provenance appendix records that procedure and the retained superseded generations. Public archive binding is discharged in the provenance appendix, which records the repository, the presented commit, and the artifact hashes.

This paper is bound to a public artifact archive. The provenance appendix records the repository, the presented commit, and the artifact hashes, so the reproduction procedure is independently executable from the published release.

1. Introduction

Machine-initiated consequences create an attribution problem that is easy to collapse into a simpler question than the evidence supports. A system may produce a material consequence through one set of events, operate under authority that traces through another set of relationships, terminate accountability somewhere else, and leave an evidentiary record whose reliability depends on who generated, retained, selected, or disclosed it. Treating those dimensions as one question risks converting structural association into responsibility, an asserted record into corroboration, or missing evidence into an affirmative conclusion.

The Machine-Initiated Consequence Reference Model (MICRM) is a formal reference model for keeping those questions separate while allowing their results to compose. It represents material consequence structure, authority and accountability closure, contribution-sensitive candidacy, and evidentiary warrant as related but distinct parts of one analysis. The central discipline is conservative: a relation and the support for that relation are not the same object, unresolved evidence is not converted into an exculpatory finding, and a downstream conclusion is not promoted merely because an upstream structure appears plausible.

This separation matters because machine-initiated systems often produce records that are operationally useful but evidentially asymmetric. A principal may control a record that supports a proposition beneficial to that same principal. A search may appear complete only because the party advantaged by the conclusion defines the searchable universe. An authority chain may be structurally traceable while its termination remains unsupported. MICRM therefore evaluates evidentiary support per basis and relative to the principal a proposition would advance, while preserving the underlying structural relation separately from the warrant for asserting it. Where negative inference depends on absence, completeness over the relevant named population becomes part of the evidentiary question rather than an unstated premise.

MICRM does not claim that these underlying ideas are individually new. The related-work process began with six candidate contribution claims and deliberately attempted to destroy them against the strongest identified prior art. None survives as a novelty claim. Defeasible reasoning, completeness-gated inference, delegation chains, evidentiary provenance, recursive warrant, and non-selection across alternative representations all have substantial antecedents. The resulting contribution is narrower: MICRM operationalizes concerns from those literatures for machine-initiated consequence attribution, with explicit interfaces among material consequence structure, authority and accountability closure, class-sensitive candidacy, and evidentiary warrant.

Three retained design differences remain, none as a novelty claim, but they do not carry equal attribution strength. First, evidentiary independence is evaluated relative to the beneficiary of the proposition being advanced rather than treated as a property of a record in isolation. Second, the model keeps a structural relation distinct from the support state that qualifies it, so an asserted relation does not silently become an established finding. This second difference is explicitly weakly attributed: no separate prior-art search was run for it, and its evidence of non-triviality is behavioural rather than bibliographic. Third, MICRM compares the termination of authority and accountability paths rather than treating authority-chain construction itself as a contribution. These are design choices within the assembled model, not claims that the underlying doctrines originated here.

The model's outputs are correspondingly bounded. MICRM produces structural findings and candidacy states. It does not independently determine legal fault, liability, moral responsibility, blameworthiness, or apportionment. A high rate of structural non-exclusion is therefore not equivalent to a high rate of accountability. It may instead reflect the model's deliberately conservative refusal to convert missing or interested evidence into a favourable exit. Questions of legal or institutional consequence remain outside the formal semantics and belong to whatever overlay consumes MICRM's structural output.

The distinction between specification and paper is also deliberate. The formal specification is normative; this paper is expository. No normative MICRM content exists only in the paper. The paper cites the specification by version and content hash, and if the two disagree, the specification governs and the paper is defective. This arrangement permits the paper to explain the model without making explanatory compression a second source of semantics.

Validation is reported with the same boundary discipline. The current validation set contains eleven sealed variants across five independently authored patterns, nine of them current. Each derivation ran against frozen rule bytes, and the process identified twelve rule defects that were repaired as the work progressed. Those results do not establish that MICRM is correct. They establish a reproducible record of what was tested, against which rule bytes, and with which outcomes. A substantial portion of the model remains untested, including graph behavior under load, end-to-end class behavior, multi-representation candidacy, attachment and propagation, burdens, the overlay interface, and other named surfaces.

That limitation is material to the claim of this paper. MICRM is presented here as a formalized reference model exercised against independently authored sealed patterns, not as a completed theory of machine accountability and not as a universally validated substrate-neutral framework. Its purpose is to make attribution analysis more explicit about what is structural, what is evidentiary, what remains unresolved, and what assumptions are doing work when a finding is promoted.

The remainder of the paper develops that argument in four directions. The related-work section establishes what neighboring literatures already provide and therefore constrains the contribution claim. The validation section reports the sealed challenge process, the mechanisms actually exercised, the defects found, and the surfaces left untested. The privacy, security, and adversarial analysis examines the evidence spine itself as an attack and surveillance surface without adding new normative semantics. The figures provide checked visual representations of selected parts of the specification, and the provenance appendix records the version and reproduction information needed to recover the governed artifacts, including the public archive binding completed at publication.

1. Method

The original Step 3 hypothesis register was frozen before the prose began, so the contribution claim could not be selected first and cited around afterwards. It recorded candidate contribution claims, the prior-art families searched against each, and the disposition of each claim. The current successor preserves those dispositions while revalidating their attribution against the claim-to-source record.

The method was adversarial rather than confirmatory. For each candidate claim the question asked was not who else works in this area but what existing work would destroy this claim, and the strongest known neighbour was searched first.

2. Prior work, and what each family takes

2.1 Defeasible reasoning and structured argumentation

Structured argumentation provides a mature formal treatment of defeat semantics directly relevant to MICRM's evidentiary machinery. ASPIC+ builds arguments from strict rules, whose premises guarantee their conclusion, and defeasible rules, whose premises create only a presumption in favour of it [1], and admits attack on an argument's uncertain premises, on its defeasible inferences, or on the conclusions of those inferences — undermining, undercutting and rebutting — with conflicts between arguments often resolved by explicit preferences [1].

Abstract argumentation, which MICRM does not claim, additionally supplies the retention of incompatible positions and their quantification through extensions and skeptical and credulous acceptance. MICRM does not claim non-selection itself as a difference; Γ differs only in what is branched, world-representations rather than argument extensions.

2.2 Evidential reasoning in law

Evidential inference networks long predate any computational treatment. Wigmore constructed what are now called inference networks and attended to relevance, credibility and inferential force [2, 3]. Schum's later synthesis supplies a substance-blind classification of evidence forms — tangible, testimonial, missing, authoritative-record — and an analysis of recurrent combinations including harmony, dissonance, synergism and redundancy [2]. Formal treatments followed: Wigmore's charting method has been given a formal underpinning in logics for defeasible argumentation, resting on argumentation schemes and empirical generalisations [4], and hybrid models combine argumentation and explanation with proof standards and burdens of proof [5].

Burden allocation is likewise formalized and is both party-relative and proposition-relative: a general burden of persuasion for one party can be combined with exceptional propositions for which the burden is shifted onto the other party, and the model extends to different standards of proof [6, 7].

Legal systems also exclude relevant evidence by rule: rules of admissibility require exclusion even where evidence is relevant to a material proposition in issue [8].

This family takes evidential structure, source qualification, missing evidence, burden allocation, and rule-governed admissibility.

2.3 Completeness and negation in open-world knowledge bases

The inference from completeness to negation is standard and formal. Completeness assertions establish cardinalities and, in turn, enable establishing negation: if the list of a subject's advisees is known to be complete, it follows that others were not advised, and query-level machinery deduces which parts of an answer are implied to be complete [9]. The reliability of completeness information is itself a concern. Completeness statements are assertions whose satisfaction can be evaluated against a data source [10], and later work attaches provenance such as authorship, timestamps and external references to those statements as a basis for trust determination [11].

This family takes completeness-gated negative inference.

2.4 Assurance cases

Assurance 2.0 occupies most of the territory a coupled structural-evidentiary model might otherwise claim. It distinguishes subclaims, the principal supporting premises, from the sideclaim, which captures the applicability conditions for the warrant of the argument scheme used in a step — assumptions about scope, model fidelity, tool qualification, independence, or completeness — a distinction described as methodological rather than logical, since sideclaims could be represented as ordinary premises [12].

Those applicability conditions recurse. A side-claim may be justified by a subargument of its own, may become the top claim of a separate subcase, may be left unsupported as an explicit assumption, and can be challenged by a defeater; where a decomposition is over hazards, the side-claim requires that all hazards have been identified and that the decomposition considers them all, individually and in combination, and may be discharged by evidence attesting to a well-accepted method performed diligently [12].

Two further properties are decisive for this chapter's dispositions.

Provenance is itself the subject of recursive evidentiary support. In the evidence incorporation block, observations yield evidence asserted to support a claim; the claim generally concerns something measured, and the sideclaim generally concerns provenance of the evidence and is supported by a subcase establishing it [12].

Completeness is a condition of deductive validity. Argument steps often iterate over an enumeration, and for such a step to be deductive there must be evidence that the enumeration is complete and that the claim distributes over its elements [12].

The framework also has a termination account and an explicit treatment of irreducible uncertainty: confidence is assessed from positive, negative and residual-doubt perspectives, with justification required to be indefeasible, and unresolved potential defeaters recorded as conscious, documented judgments rather than silently discharged [12]. Evidential confidence is claim-relative: confidence at evidential leaf nodes will change as they are required to justify different claims [12]. And independence appears inside the confidence calculus, where confidence in a sideclaim that subclaims are adequately diverse and independent limits the confidence propagated upward [12, 13].

2.5 Delegation and authority chains

Authority-chain construction is well developed. RT provides localized authority over roles, delegation in role definition, linked and parameterized roles, and manifold roles expressing threshold and separation-of-duty policies, with semantics defined by translation to Datalog [14], alongside credential chain discovery in RT [15] and certificate chain discovery in SPKI/SDSI [16]. The asymmetry MICRM formalizes appears in governance doctrine rather than in formal work. Governance frameworks distinguish delegation from retained accountability: governing bodies may delegate functions or decision work while remaining collectively or ultimately responsible for their exercise, unless the law provides otherwise [17].

Separately — and not as a consequence of delegation structure — a long-standing literature holds that where many actors contribute to an outcome, attributing responsibility to any individual becomes difficult, and that neither hierarchical nor collective models resolve this well [18]. That literature frames the difficulty as a gap in the distribution of responsibility rather than as diffusion [19].

This family takes authority-chain construction and delegation reachability.

2.6 Assurance practice and the interested party

The interested-party problem is codified normatively rather than inferentially. Completeness is management's assertion, and auditors test it outside-in — starting from underlying source evidence and checking whether it reached the records — because omitted items are absent from the recorded population [20, 21]. Self-review is one of five codified threats to independence, alongside self-interest, advocacy, familiarity and intimidation [22].

This family takes the interested-party problem, as professional prohibition applied by humans.

3. What prior art removed

This section reports a negative result, and it is placed here rather than at the end because it is the principal outcome of the exercise.

An initial hypothesis held that MICRM's principal contribution lay in its graph model. That hypothesis was reopened after validation, on the ground that validation had barely exercised the graph model and had instead shown the evidentiary machinery to be outcome-determinative.

Six candidate claims were then entered and searched adversarially. None survives as a novelty claim.

representational non-selection with       REJECTED
necessity/possibility quantification      abstract argumentation retains
                                          incompatible positions as extensions
                                          and quantifies over them

completeness-gated negative inference     REJECTED
                                          open-world KB work licenses negation
                                          from completeness assertions; assurance
                                          requires enumeration completeness for
                                          deductive validity

coverage-gated negation under             REJECTED
beneficiary-relative independence         formal half in KB completeness;
                                          interested-party and claim-relative
                                          concerns in assurance, audit and
                                          professional-independence practice

recursive warrant with explicit           REJECTED
termination                               assurance cases recurse through
                                          subcases and bottom out in evidence,
                                          explicit assumptions or recorded
                                          residual doubts

non-laundering of uncertainty across      WITHDRAWN
heterogeneous inference stages            not on a citation, but on an objection
                                          the authors could not answer: that this
                                          is the same invariant applied more
                                          times

proposition-relative evidentiary          NARROWED
independence                              claim-relative evidence confidence is
                                          already present in assurance practice

Separately, and outside that population of six, authority-chain construction was also rejected as a contribution claim: RT and SPKI/SDSI already provide the chain machinery, and what MICRM retains is the comparison of termination sets rather than their construction.

The distinction between rejected and withdrawn is preserved deliberately. Four of the six claims fell to retrieved prior art. One was withdrawn on an unanswered objection rather than on a citation, and the record says so rather than collapsing it into the cited-rejection population.

The purpose of reporting this is not modesty. It is that the reader can see the related-work process removing claims rather than assembling support for a contribution chosen beforehand.

4. Contribution

MICRM does not claim novelty for defeasible reasoning, completeness-gated inference, delegation chains, evidentiary provenance, or multi-model quantification individually.

MICRM operationalizes existing concerns from several literatures for machine-initiated consequence attribution, with explicit interfaces among material consequence structure, authority/accountability closure, class-sensitive candidacy, and evidentiary warrant.

A recent source in the neighbouring literature states the problem directly: recent work on authenticated delegation addresses who is permitted to act, while tracing who actually caused a given outcome across multi-agent delegation chains remains largely open [23].

5. Design differences, with their statuses

The following are differences from the nearest prior work. They are not a list of contributions, and their statuses differ.

Beneficiary-relative independence. MICRM computes the support state of a finding as a function of the beneficiary set of the specific proposition, so one record may be corroborated for one finding and asserted for another because the interested party differs. The concerns are not new, but they do not correspond to one prior doctrine. Completeness is an assertion of the represented party, and testing it proceeds from evidence outside the records rather than from the records themselves, because omitted items leave no trace in the population under that party's control [20, 21]. Evidentiary obligations vary by party and by proposition [6, 7]. Evidential confidence is relative to the claim being justified, and provenance is itself an evidentiary object [12]. Self-interest and self-review are codified threats to independent professional judgement [22]. None of these supplies MICRM's operator: support state as a function of the particular proposition and the principals that proposition advantages. Status: mechanization of established interested-party and claim-relative evidentiary concerns, not conceptual novelty.

Relation/support separation. A structural relation is never altered by evidentiary state; only its promotion to a finding is. The nearest neighbour is the methodological-rather-than-logical framing of applicability conditions in assurance cases, which is not the same invariant. No dedicated prior-art search was performed for this item, and the evidence for its non-triviality is behavioural rather than bibliographic: the invariant was violated at five separate sites during implementation of the specification that states it, and each violation was caught by external review. Status: design difference, weakly attributed, not claimed as novel.

Dual termination comparison. MICRM constructs an authority-termination set and an accountability-termination set for the same traversal and treats their disagreement as a substantive finding rather than as an error. Governance doctrine establishes that delegation can coexist with retained accountability [17], and authority-chain construction and discovery, which MICRM does not claim, are well developed in RT and SPKI/SDSI [14-16]. No retrieved framework constructs both termination sets and compares them. Status: design difference addressing a retrieved gap, not a priority claim.

6. What this chapter does not claim

NOT claimed   that defeasible reasoning, completeness-gated inference, delegation
              chains, evidentiary provenance or multi-model quantification are
              novel here
NOT claimed   that beneficiary-relative independence is inexpressible elsewhere;
              assurance cases are expressive enough that a case author could
              instantiate it as a sideclaim, and MICRM's difference is that it
              standardizes and mechanizes a particular test rather than leaving
              it to the author
NOT claimed   that the graph model is MICRM's contribution — and not that it is
              unimportant, since validation did not reach it
NOT claimed   that this survey is exhaustive; absence of a retrieved
              counterexample is not evidence that none exists

7. A limitation of the differentiation itself

MICRM treats principals as first-class objects, so every assertion in the model has an author who may be a beneficiary. The knowledge-base completeness work reviewed here does not model principals and therefore does not ask who supplied a completeness statement; the assurance, audit and professional-independence sources reviewed here address interested-party concerns through claim structure, audit procedure or professional prohibition rather than through MICRM's beneficiary-relative support operator. MICRM sits between them.

A reasonable reader may conclude that beneficiary-relativity is therefore a consequence of modelling principals at all, rather than a contribution. The available response is that nothing forces a principal-bearing framework to route coverage assertions through the same independence test as substantive evidence, and MICRM does. Whether that response is sufficient is not something a literature search can settle, and it is stated here rather than avoided.


References

[1] Modgil, S. & Prakken, H. (2014). The ASPIC+ framework for structured argumentation: a tutorial. Argument & Computation 5(1):31-62. doi:10.1080/19462166.2013.869766

[2] Schum, D.A. (1994). The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning. Wiley / Northwestern University Press. ISBN 9780810118218

[3] Dawid, P., Schum, D. & Hepler, A. (2011). Inference Networks: Bayes and Wigmore. In Dawid, Twining & Vasilaki (eds), Evidence, Inference and Enquiry. OUP / British Academy

[4] Bex, F., Prakken, H., Reed, C. & Walton, D. (2003). Towards a formal account of reasoning about evidence: argumentation schemes and generalisations. Artificial Intelligence and Law 11:125-165. doi:10.1023/B:ARTI.0000046007.11806.9a

[5] Bex, F. & Walton, D. (2012). Burdens and standards of proof for inference to the best explanation: three case studies. Law, Probability and Risk 11(2-3):113-133

[6] Calegari, R. & Sartor, G. (2020). Burden of persuasion in argumentation. Proc. 36th International Conference on Logic Programming (Technical Communications), ICLP 2020. EPTCS 325, pp. 151-163. doi:10.4204/EPTCS.325.21. arXiv:2009.10244

[7] Prakken, H. & Sartor, G. (2011). On modelling burdens and standards of proof in structured argumentation. JURIX. doi:10.3233/978-1-60750-981-3-83

[8] Federal Rules of Evidence, Rule 402 and Advisory Committee Note; Rule 403

[9] Razniewski, S., Arnaout, H., Ghosh, S. & Suchanek, F. (2024). Completeness, Recall, and Negation in Open-World Knowledge Bases: A Survey. ACM Computing Surveys 56(6), Article 152. doi:10.1145/3639563. arXiv:2305.05403 (2023)

[10] Darari, F., Nutt, W., Pirro, G. & Razniewski, S. (2013). Completeness statements about RDF data sources and their use for query answering. ISWC, pp. 66-83. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-41335-3_5

[11] Darari, F., Nutt, W., Razniewski, S. & Rudolph, S. (2020). Completeness and soundness guarantees for conjunctive SPARQL queries over RDF data sources with completeness statements. Semantic Web 11(3):441-482. doi:10.3233/SW-190344

[12] Bloomfield, R. & Rushby, J. (2022). Assessing Confidence with Assurance 2.0. SRI-CSL Technical Report SRI-CSL-2022-02. arXiv:2205.04522

[13] Bloomfield, R. & Rushby, J. (2024). Confidence in Assurance 2.0 Cases. arXiv:2409.10665 [cs.SE]

[14] Li, N., Mitchell, J.C. & Winsborough, W.H. (2002). Design of a role-based trust management framework. Proc. 2002 IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy, pp. 114-130

[15] Li, N., Winsborough, W.H. & Mitchell, J.C. (2003). Distributed credential chain discovery in trust management. Journal of Computer Security 11(1):35-86

[16] Clarke, D., Elien, J.-E., Ellison, C., Fredette, M., Morcos, A. & Rivest, R.L. (2001). Certificate chain discovery in SPKI/SDSI. Journal of Computer Security 9(4):285-322

[17] OECD (2023). G20/OECD Principles of Corporate Governance 2023, Ch. V. OECD Publishing, Paris. doi:10.1787/ed750b30-en

[18] Thompson, D.F. (1980). Moral Responsibility of Public Officials: The Problem of Many Hands. American Political Science Review 74(4):905-916

[19] van de Poel, I., Nihlen Fahlquist, J., Doorn, N., Zwart, S. & Royakkers, L. (2012). The Problem of Many Hands: Climate Change as an Example. Science and Engineering Ethics 18:49-67. doi:10.1007/s11948-011-9276-0

[20] ISA 315 (Revised 2019), Identifying and Assessing the Risks of Material Misstatement. IAASB

[21] ACCA. The audit of assertions. Association of Chartered Certified Accountants, technical article, Audit and Assurance (AA) exam resources. Underlying authority: PCAOB AS 1105, Audit Evidence; AS 2315, Audit Sampling

[22] International Ethics Standards Board for Accountants (IESBA). International Code of Ethics for Professional Accountants (including International Independence Standards), §120.6 A3. IFAC, New York

[23] Nian, Y., Yuan, A., Zhang, H., Li, J. & Zhao, Y. (2026). Auditable Agents. arXiv:2604.05485 [cs.AI]


Related work | Six candidates entered; none survives as a novelty claim

Validation

1. Purpose

This chapter is a transformation of a frozen validation record, cited above by hash. It is not a fresh interpretation of the validation campaign, and where the two differ the record governs.

Its purpose is to make MICRM easier to challenge, easier to reproduce, and clearer about what remains untested. It does not argue that the model is sound. That distinction is not modesty: a model whose central commitment is that internally ratified findings are not evidence cannot coherently offer its own internal validation as proof of its correctness.

2. Protocol

Fact patterns were authored outside the lane that wrote the semantics. Each was sealed and published by hash, byte count, line count and terminating newline before the deriving lane read any content, and the deriving lane verified the seal before reading in every case.

rule freezing     every derivation cites the rule-byte hashes it ran against
no amendment      no fact pattern was edited after a result was observed; where a
                  pattern proved insufficient, a successor was sealed and the
                  predecessor derivation retained as the witness
gap discipline    a needed and unwritten rule was recorded and the derivation
                  branch stopped; no rule was invented mid-derivation

The separation is the point. The fact author controls the facts and cannot change them after sealing; the deriving lane controls the application of the model and cannot change the rules when the facts become inconvenient. That gives the exercise a real chance to fail, which is what makes a passing result mean anything.

3. What was tested

Five independently authored patterns produced eleven sealed variants, nine of them current — one pattern's two variants were superseded by a successor seal, and both derivations are retained.

Q47 industrial incident                    1 variant
positive root-base microcase               1 variant
WF-T consistency, two support variants     2 variants, superseded
WF-T consistency, successor                2 variants
evidence-universe closure                  3 variants
asserted-mismatch closure matrix           2 variants
                                          ------
                                          11 sealed, 9 current

Mechanisms exercised across those variants:

representation construction from incompatible alternatives
per-principal closure predicates and endpoint-set logic
the closure matrix at mismatch with corroborated and with asserted support
closure failure held distinct from non-candidacy
asserted mismatch held distinct from closure failure
grounding and admissibility transitions, per representation
the ordered independence rule, first branch and fallthrough
support bases, sufficiency gating, existential aggregation
the asserted aggregation branch with basis-enumeration coverage
root-base termination: well-formedness, scoped assumptions, discharge by
  declaration
the consistency guard at three support levels of a contrary relation
evidence-universe coverage in all three states
outer-to-inner coverage composition
closure of an evidence universe on a beneficiary's own search record
cut-condition geometry, negatively

4. What was not tested

This section is placed immediately after the tested surface, and at comparable semantic resolution, so that the boundary of the evidence is visible before any interpretation of the results.

the graph model under load        multi-traversal graphs, cycles as occurrence
                                  chains, uncertain edges, conjunctive joins
                                  with multiplicity

path aggregation                  no path-exclusion or structural-result output
                                  was licensed in any variant; the class layer
                                  never opened

the class layer end to end        class families, the admissibility mask,
                                  refinement coverage and class-sensitivity
                                  reporting were derived as relations once and
                                  never carried to an output

multi-representation candidacy    quantification over the representation family,
                                  necessity and possibility robustness, and
                                  status profiles across more than one retained
                                  representation

attachment and propagation        no attachment instance was ever evaluable, so
                                  the attachment definition, three of the four
                                  cut conditions, and the neutralisation rule
                                  are untested

burdens                           never reached

the overlay interface             no worked handoff

the gate question                 resolved in the semantics, never exercised on
                                  facts

the third mismatch cell           reachable and observed incidentally through an
                                  input defect; not relied upon as evidence

A substantial portion of the model remains untested, including the surfaces where the reviewer's structural objections originally concentrated. No proportion is stated, because none is supported: there is no defined denominator or coverage metric here, and a count of items would mislead in the other direction, since the graph model under load encompasses far more semantic surface than a single matrix cell.

5. Defects found

The independently authored challenge process found twelve rule defects against frozen bytes that the project's self-check did not find.

Three recurring classes were identified and named during the process:

class 1   defined states with no transition into them
class 2   two explicit rules demanding incompatible outputs on the same facts
class 3   circular derivation with an unreachable base case

Individually, the twelve included: transitions missing between defined admissibility states; a base case with no output value; incompatible representation-construction rules; two live definitions of one predicate; two live signatures for one unit; an outer population given a boundary requirement and no state machine; a composition producing a value outside its own state set; a neutrality guard narrow enough to be bypassed; a state consumed by a downstream rule and produced by nothing; and a base case that required the result it existed to terminate.

6. Methodological findings

The following are interpretation, and are marked as such.

On self-checking. The model states normatively that self-checking is not an accepted verification method within it, and names the independently authored worked incident as the external check. This series provides evidence consistent with that position: no defect was found by the project's self-check. It does not establish a general proposition about external review, and the observation is scoped strictly to this validation series.

Two subsidiary findings of the same shape are worth recording. A self-check in one artifact asserted a mechanism that did not exist, in the very section written to correct a previous self-check error. And of the deriving lane's eighteen recorded errors, eleven occurred at a seam between two artifacts rather than inside one — a count with its denominator stated, not a proportion.

On predicted outcomes. In one variant pair, a result matched its pre-sealed prediction for the wrong reason: the predicted mechanism never ran, and a different limitation produced the same output. A comparison at the level of results would have scored that variant a pass.

Matching a predicted output is not evidence that the predicted mechanism ran. Every subsequent derivation checked the route as well as the result.

On transformation. A correction to a source does not protect a rewrite that consumes it. During the preparation of this paper, a population-accounting defect that had been corrected twice in a source artifact was regenerated in a chapter transcribing the corrected version. Detecting stale text is not the same check as detecting a regenerated defect, and both are required.

7. Reproduction

1  obtain the sealed fact pattern and verify its hash, byte count, line count
   and terminating newline
2  obtain the rule-byte generations named in that derivation's input section
3  derive without reading the derivation artifact
4  compare route and result, not result alone

Every derivation names the hashes required for this. A reader who disagrees with an outcome can identify precisely which rule bytes produced it and which facts it consumed, and can re-derive against the same inputs.

8. Standing limitations

establishes    that the exercised mechanisms executed as written, on sealed facts,
               against frozen rules
establishes    a reproducible record of what was tested, by whom, against which
               rule bytes, and with which outcomes

does not       establish that MICRM's semantics are correct
does not       establish that the exercised mechanisms are correctly specified
does not       establish that twelve is the number of defects present, only the
               number found
does not       validate any mechanism a passing variant did not reach
does not       establish that the untested surface is sound

This chapter and the record it transforms are internal artifacts of the project they document. Neither has been independently reproduced by a third party, and no finding reported here has been re-derived outside the exchange that produced it. That is the same limit the model applies to its own findings, applied to its own validation.


Validation | Eleven variants sealed, twelve defects found, substantial model surface untested

Privacy, Security, and Adversarial Analysis

1. Scope

This chapter analyzes the privacy, security, confidentiality and adversarial properties of the frozen specification. It derives consequences of existing rules, identifies threats those rules address, identifies threats they do not, and discusses mitigations as non-normative examples.

It introduces no rule. Where analysis reaches a question the specification does not answer, the chapter records a normative gap and stops. A gap has two legitimate dispositions — remain an explicit limitation of this revision, or reopen the specification in a successor generation with the validation debt that entails — and repair in the paper is not among them.

Every threat below carries one of three statuses:

MODELED         the specification gives the threat a formal consequence
ACCOMMODATED    the architecture can represent the situation; no policy for it
                is defined
NOT GOVERNED    named plainly as a limitation

Each MODELED entry also states how much of that mechanism validation actually exercised, since a formal consequence that was never run is a weaker claim than one that was.

2. Threats the specification models

2.1 Control of the evidence by a party the finding benefits

The evidence architecture treats control as a first-class threat rather than a reliability heuristic. Block 4 §9.1 enumerates the dependency vectors: unilateral control over generation, retention, disclosure or destruction; shared trust root; dependent capture; selective schema control; colluding principals; recorder compromise; forward-integrity failure; and clock control.

Two properties of that treatment matter more than the list.

Control is evaluated relative to the beneficiary of the specific proposition. Block 4 §3 defines the beneficiary population per finding and proposition, so the same record may be corroborated for one finding and asserted for another because the interested party differs. A record generated by a principal is not discounted generally; it is discounted for the propositions that principal's result advances.

Control is evaluated per support basis, not over a pool. Block 4 §3.2 identifies the evidence relied upon for a finding, and §3.3 admits only bases that are sufficient for it. A dependent basis therefore cannot contaminate a finding that an independent basis establishes, and an analyst cannot quietly retain only the favourable records.

EXERCISED   both directions. One validation variant established a finding through
            an independent basis while a dependent basis for the same proposition
            was present; another established that an interested-only sole basis
            cannot support an adverse finding

2.2 Withholding, and the difference from destruction

Withholding reaches the specification through two distinct routes, and collapsing them loses the relation/support split.

Established control of withholding or destruction is a dependency question; unexplained absence is a coverage question. Neither mechanism detects tampering by itself.

Block 4 §9.1 names beneficiary control over disclosure or destruction as a dependency vector, and Block 4 §9.3 governs what follows. Where that vector is present with corroborated support, the basis is dependent for propositions that party's result advances. Where it is present but only asserted, the ordinary result remains unresolved: a named vector alone does not promote. Where evidence is merely missing or the population is incompletely known, Block 4 §1.1's completeness predicate and Block 4 §3.3.2's requirement that the evidence universe be established rather than declared leave the state unresolved, with closure resting on a beneficiary's own search record classified as asserted by construction.

The consequence is narrow and worth stating precisely: a party that withholds evidence does not thereby produce a favourable negative finding, because the negative finding requires a coverage state that the withholding party's own account cannot establish.

EXERCISED   directly. One variant produced a complete coverage relation with
            asserted support in a world where the bounded environment genuinely
            held nothing else, and no negative finding was licensed

2.3 Missing assurance, distinguished from compromise

Block 4 §9.1.2 separates the two: a vector is present when its positive predicate is established, absent when affirmatively excluded, and unresolved otherwise — including where forward integrity, recorder custody or clock provenance is simply unestablished. An assurance gap is a blocker rather than a dependency.

This is the property most likely to be lost by an implementer, and it runs in both directions. Missing assurance does not become evidence of compromise, and absence of a discovered dependency does not become evidence of independence.

EXERCISED   partially. The unresolved and present states were both exercised; the
            affirmatively-absent state was reached only through declaration under
            a trust root, never through affirmative exclusion on evidence

2.4 Declared trust, and what it concedes

Block 4 §3.4 through §3.4.3 makes the analysis's own axioms explicit. A trust root identifies records eligible for base-case treatment; scoped assumptions discharge named prerequisites by declaration; and an analysis declaring no assumptions derives no corroborated support anywhere.

Two constraints bound what that concession can buy. Block 4 §3.4.3 disqualifies an assumption that contradicts an affirmatively established relation, in either support direction, so a declaration can close uncertainty and cannot negate contrary evidence. And the assumption's scope forms part of the trust root's identity and appears in the sensitivity record, so a reader rejecting the root can identify which findings fall with it.

EXERCISED   fully, in both directions. One variant produced a corroborated
            finding through the base case on facts that reached independence by
            no other route; another established that a contrary declaration is
            invalidated rather than weighed

2.5 Conflicting and adversarial records

Block 1 §2.5A places conflict: assertions may coexist in the evidence record, only compatible instances coexist in one representation, and incompatible alternatives occupy separate representations. Block 4 §8 characterises the relationship without selecting between the underlying facts, and permits merging or subsuming only on corroborated support.

The adversarial consequence is that a party cannot collapse a representation family by asserting that a conflict does not exist.

EXERCISED   partially. Conflict characterisation and its support were exercised;
            merging and subsumption were not

3. Situations the architecture accommodates without policy

Restricted and confidential evidence. Public disclosure is not a specified prerequisite for evidentiary support, so restricted status alone creates no modeled rejection condition. How access to or verification of such a record is authorized remains unspecified, and this chapter does not supply it.

That is the limit of what follows. The specification defines no confidential-verification protocol, no scoped attestation, no regulator-only evidence channel and no authorization model for inspection. Candidate work describing such mechanisms treated them as open construction questions and did not modify the model.

ACCOMMODATED   representable
NOT SPECIFIED  every protocol by which restricted evidence would be verified

Evidence held by a third party. The dependency vectors of Block 4 §9.1 are relative to the beneficiary population rather than to custody, so evidence held by a non-beneficiary custodian is not dependent merely by being held elsewhere. Whether that custodian will produce it is a question the specification does not address.

4. What the specification does not govern

Named plainly, because the review recommended several of these and recommendation does not make them part of the model.

data minimisation              no rule limits what an analysis may collect or
                               retain about principals or subjects
lawful basis                   no rule conditions processing on a legal ground
retention                      no rule bounds how long evidence records persist
access authorisation           no rule states who may inspect sensitive records
redaction                      no rule defines what may be withheld from a
                               produced record without affecting its support
disclosure sufficiency         no rule states when a privacy-preserving
                               disclosure suffices to establish a finding
confidentiality controls       no rule protects the contents of the evidence
                               spine itself
subject rights                 no rule addresses the interests of persons
                               described by evidence who are not principals

4.1 The evidence spine is a surveillance surface

This follows from the architecture rather than from any rule in it. An analysis capable of establishing who caused an outcome across delegation chains requires records of what systems did, under whose authority, at what times, with what custody. Some findings require completeness over named evidence populations, which can create pressure for broader collection.

MICRM creates pressure toward evidentiary completeness that can increase privacy exposure, while the specification contains no minimisation rule that balances the two.

The relationship is a pressure and not a monotonicity. Block 4 §1.1's coverage rule makes negative findings depend on a covered population, which rewards collection; but additional evidence can also surface conflicts, further beneficiaries, or dependency vectors, and thereby reduce support rather than increase it. What the specification lacks is any bound on the population's intrusiveness, and this revision does not supply one.

5. Adversarial analysis

Each question is answered from the frozen specification, and each answer states what an adversary achieves as well as what it does not.

Can a beneficiary suppress evidence to obtain a favourable finding? Not a negative finding. Block 4 §1.1 and §3.3.2 make an absence conclusion depend on a coverage state the suppressing party cannot establish from its own account. If suppression succeeds in preventing every sufficient basis from obtaining independently corroborated support, promotion to the requested finding can be blocked without producing a favourable contrary finding; depending on basis coverage and the remaining bases, support may remain asserted or unresolved. Neither is exoneration. Whether a party can achieve that suppression is outside what the specification defines.

Can a beneficiary choose the schema? Selective schema control is a named vector in Block 4 §9.1. Where it is established with corroborated support, Block 4 §9.3 returns a dependent basis for propositions that party benefits from; where it is asserted only, the result remains unresolved. In neither case does the adversary shape the finding — it degrades the evidence, and the degree of degradation follows the support for the vector rather than the vector alone.

Can two principals collude? Colluding principals is a named vector. The practical limit is that collusion is caught only where the vector is established; Block 4 §9.1.2 leaves an unestablished collusion relationship unresolved, which blocks corroboration without proving dependence.

Can the recorder be compromised? Recorder compromise and forward-integrity failure are named vectors in Block 4 §9.1, and Block 4 §9.1.2 separates established compromise from unestablished integrity, routing the latter to unresolved with an assurance-gap blocker.

An undetected compromise is not independently discoverable from the MICRM rules themselves. Where the evidence needed to expose it is unavailable, or is trusted by declaration under Block 4 §3.4.2, the affected evidence may remain usable under the resulting support state. The trust root makes the residual assumptions visible; it does not detect or remove the compromise.

Can a controlled clock alter ordering? Clock trust is a named vector and Block 1 D11 requires ordering claims to advance a strict partial order, with an ordering resting on a single principal's clock recorded as not independently supported. Where a controlled clock is the sole evidentiary basis for an ordering, that ordering is not independently supported. Ordering may still be established on another independently supported basis — traversal position, generation-then-use, or trusted time — so control of a clock denies one route to an ordering rather than all of them.

Can an interested party certify that the searched universe is complete? No. Block 4 §3.3.2 classifies closure resting on a beneficiary's search record as asserted by construction, and Block 4 §3.3.3 carries that into the inner coverage relation. This was exercised directly in validation.

What happens when assurance is simply missing? The result is unresolved, not adverse and not favourable. Block 4 §9.1.2 routes assurance gaps to unresolved with a blocker, and Block 2 §5.3.1 requires every finding interpreting an absence to consult those blockers.

5.1 Denial of corroboration as an adversarial strategy

Preventing relevant evidence from reaching corroborated support can deny promotion to findings without producing a favourable contrary finding. Where the means of degradation yields a dependency vector that is present with corroborated support, Block 4 §9.3 returns a dependent basis; where the vector is only asserted, or assurance remains unavailable, the ordinary path can remain unresolved.

This is stated as a property of the rules rather than as an optimal strategy. The specification defines no threat-actor objectives or capabilities, so a claim about what an adversary should prefer would import a model MICRM does not contain.

The cost of that conservatism is that a sufficiently uncooperative environment yields an analysis in which little is promoted to a finding. The Q47 rerun illustrates the operational consequence, though for a different reason: its sealed input fails the trust-root well-formedness condition, so no corroborated support is derivable and promotion stops. That is an input defect rather than an adversarial one, and it is offered as an illustration of the consequence, not as an instance of the strategy.

6. Review blockers

3.12  evidence independence threat model
      ADDRESSED. The threat model entered the formal architecture during Step 1
      as Block 4 §9.1's vectors with §9.1.2's transition, §3's
      proposition-relative beneficiary population, and §3.4's declared trust
      root. §2 above states what each does and how much validation exercised it

3.13  privacy, confidentiality, evidence security
      ADDRESSED ANALYTICALLY, NOT RESOLVED NORMATIVELY. The evidence
      architecture creates privacy and confidentiality requirements that this
      revision does not formalize. §4 names them individually and §4.1 states
      the structural tension

Recording 3.13 this way is a result rather than a deferral. A half-specified privacy model entering the revision after validation closed would be the first normative content in the model with no sealed variant behind it.

7. Normative gaps

Recorded, not repaired.

GAP-P1   no confidential-verification protocol for restricted evidence
GAP-P2   no authorization model for inspecting sensitive records
GAP-P3   no redaction semantics: the effect of withholding part of a produced
         record on its support state is undefined
GAP-P4   no disclosure-sufficiency rule for privacy-preserving production
GAP-P5   no retention, minimisation or lawful-basis constraints
GAP-P6   no confidentiality requirement on the evidence spine itself
GAP-P7   no treatment of persons described by evidence who are not principals

Each has the same two dispositions available: explicit limitation of this revision, or a successor specification generation with new validation debt. None is repaired here.

8. Limitations of this chapter

analysis only     no rule was introduced; the specification is unchanged by this
                  chapter
exercise varies   several modeled mechanisms were exercised only partially, and
                  each section states which
untested surface  the untested surfaces recorded in the validation chapter bound
                  this analysis too: an adversarial claim about a mechanism
                  validation never ran is an argument from the specification, not
                  from evidence
not adversarial   no adversary attempted to defeat the model outside the sealed
  testing         variants; the analysis in §5 is derivation, not red-teaming

Privacy and adversarial analysis | Pressure toward evidentiary completeness, and no minimisation rule to balance it

Figures

Each figure is derived from the specification generations named above. No figure was derived from chapter prose, and the equivalence record accompanying this set was built from the specification independently rather than by reading these figures back.

Arrow labelling rule. Every arrow that crosses a semantic stage labels each premise the transition consumes. Where a figure would otherwise render PRESENT → DEPENDENT, it renders the full premise, because the shorter arrow fits better and that is exactly how the collapse enters.


Figure 1 — Independence result per support basis

Derived from B4 §9.3 and §§3.4.1–3.4.2.

                        ┌──────────────────────────────┐
   support basis W ────► │ any result-relevant vector   │
                        │ for W is PRESENT             │
                        │            +                 │
                        │      CORROBORATED[T]         │
                        └──────────────┬───────────────┘
                            yes │      │ no
                                ▼      ▼
                       DEPENDENT(W)   ┌─────────────────────────────────┐
                                      │ BENEFICIARY COVERAGE            │
                                      │   COMPLETE + CORROBORATED[T]    │
                                      │ AND DEPENDENCY VECTOR COVERAGE  │
                                      │   COMPLETE + CORROBORATED[T]    │
                                      │ AND every covered vector for W  │
                                      │   ABSENT + CORROBORATED[T]      │
                                      │ AND no covered vector for W     │
                                      │   is UNRESOLVED                 │
                                      └───────┬─────────────┬───────────┘
                                      all yes │             │ otherwise
                                              ▼             ▼
                                    INDEPENDENT(W)    UNRESOLVED(W)

Caption. The result is ordered and exhaustive. One established dependency suffices, and incomplete knowledge of another vector does not undo a dependency already shown. CORROBORATED[T] support for a finding requires INDEPENDENT under this result.

Transitions, stated in text. ASCII layout expresses a branch spatially, which no substring check can read. The transitions are therefore also stated so they are machine-checkable against the specification:

T1  if any result-relevant vector for W is PRESENT + CORROBORATED[T] -> DEPENDENT(W)
T2  else if BENEFICIARY COVERAGE COMPLETE + CORROBORATED[T]
         and DEPENDENCY VECTOR COVERAGE COMPLETE + CORROBORATED[T]
         and every covered vector for W ABSENT + CORROBORATED[T]
         and no covered vector for W is UNRESOLVED                   -> INDEPENDENT(W)
T3  else                                                             -> UNRESOLVED(W)

Scope note: this is not the only route to INDEPENDENT(W). B4 §3.4.1 provides a second producer:

T4  ROOT-ADMITTED(W) AND ROOT-NEUTRAL(W)  ->  INDEPENDENT(W) by declaration

The base case does not traverse the ordinary §9.3 branch. Its ROOT-NEUTRAL prerequisites must instead be established by a terminating support chain or discharged by an in-scope T assumption — they are not absent. That route is not drawn above because it is governed by well-formedness conditions on T that a decision diagram would misrepresent as an ordinary branch. A reader must not conclude that the four conjuncts are necessary conditions for INDEPENDENT(W).

Rendering note. The first test is drawn as a single box carrying both conjuncts rather than as two boxes, because splitting them would permit an arrow labelled only PRESENT.


Figure 2 — Closure status from relation and support

Derived from B2 §4.2 and §4.3.

                      evidentiary support
                CORROBORATED   ASSERTED           UNRESOLVED
              ┌──────────────┬──────────────────┬──────────────┐
   MATCH(P)   │  ESTABLISHED │ ASSERTED-CLOSURE │  UNRESOLVED  │
              ├──────────────┼──────────────────┼──────────────┤
MISMATCH(P)   │    FAILED    │ ASSERTED-MISMATCH│  UNRESOLVED  │
              ├──────────────┼──────────────────┼──────────────┤
UNRESOLVED(P) │  UNRESOLVED  │   UNRESOLVED     │  UNRESOLVED  │
              └──────────────┴──────────────────┴──────────────┘
   closure
   relation

Caption. The relation is defined once, in §4.2; this table only composes it with support. Support is CORROBORATED where all result-relevant closure evidence — identity, both terminations, and continuity — is supported outside the unilateral control of any principal whose result it benefits.

Rendering note. Drawn as a matrix rather than as arrows so that neither dimension can be read as producing a status alone. The ASSERTED-MISMATCH cell is the one a shorter rendering would collapse into FAILED.


Figure 3 — Candidacy status per traversal occurrence

Derived from B2 §4.1 (the closure-subject admission domain), B2 §5.0–§5.1 (the material consequence target and the per-traversal candidacy conjunctions) and B2 §5.3–§5.3.2 (the propagation rule and the representation-level NO CANDIDATE PATH construct).

   DOMAIN, B2 §4.1
       P must be an admitted closure subject for τ in Rᵢ.
       A principal that is not an admitted closure subject
           -> takes no closure status over τ
           -> is NOT UNRESOLVED over τ
       Bare principal existence, affiliation, theoretical authority or bare
       nomination does not admit P.

   for each ADMITTED CLOSURE SUBJECT P, traversal τ, representation Rᵢ

   materially_ancestral(τ, Rᵢ)
        │
        ├── affirmatively not ancestral, no live blocker
        │        ────────────────────────────►  no status from this traversal
        │
        ├── ancestry unresolved, or an antecedent unresolved
        │        ────────────────────────────►  no status entry; blocker carried
        │                                       into B(P, Rᵢ). Downstream absence
        │                                       findings must consult B and may
        │                                       not read this silence as exclusion
        │
        └── materially ancestral ──► closure(P, τ, Rᵢ) = ?
                         │
                         ├─ ESTABLISHED ──────►  ESTABLISHED CANDIDATE
                         │
                         ├─ UNRESOLVED    ┐
                         ├─ ASSERTED-CLOSURE  ├─►  UNRESOLVED-CLOSURE CANDIDATE
                         ├─ ASSERTED-MISMATCH ┘
                         │
                         └─ FAILED ───────────►  CLOSURE FAILURE

   NO CANDIDATE PATH is NOT a per-traversal status. It is a
   representation-level finding over the whole profile, derived in §5.3.2:

       NO CANDIDATE PATH(P, Rᵢ)
           S(P, Rᵢ) = ∅
           AND B(P, Rᵢ) contains no result-relevant blocker capable of
               producing a candidacy entry for P

Branches and transitions, stated in text. Multi-column ASCII interleaves an annotation with the line it annotates, which no substring check can read.

B1  affirmatively not materially ancestral, with no live result-relevant blocker
        -> no status from this traversal
B2  ancestry unresolved, or an antecedent required to construct it unresolved
        -> no status entry, AND the blocker is carried into B(P, Rᵢ)
B3  materially ancestral to the selected material consequence target
        -> evaluate closure(P, τ, Rᵢ)

T1  materially_ancestral(τ, Rᵢ) AND closure(P, τ, Rᵢ) = ESTABLISHED
        -> ESTABLISHED CANDIDATE(P, τ, Rᵢ)
T2  materially_ancestral(τ, Rᵢ) AND closure(P, τ, Rᵢ) ∈ {UNRESOLVED,
    ASSERTED-CLOSURE, ASSERTED-MISMATCH}
        -> UNRESOLVED-CLOSURE CANDIDATE(P, τ, Rᵢ)
T3  materially_ancestral(τ, Rᵢ) AND closure(P, τ, Rᵢ) = FAILED
        -> CLOSURE FAILURE(P, τ, Rᵢ)

Caption. Candidacy is anchored on the traversal, not on principal attribution. Every candidacy-status transition consumes both premises: material ancestry and a closure status. That covers T1 through T3 only — the domain rule can terminate before ancestry is evaluated, and B1 and B2 terminate before closure is evaluated.

The admission domain comes first. Without it, an arbitrary principal could be nominated, found unestablished, and returned as an UNRESOLVED-CLOSURE CANDIDATE over any materially ancestral traversal — the amplification route B2 §4.1 exists to close. A non-subject takes no status, which is not the same as an unresolved one.

The ancestry test is not a boolean. A prior rendering drew it as yes/no, which permits ancestry not established to be read as ancestry absent. A subsequent rendering used ESTABLISHED TRUE / FALSE / UNRESOLVED, which is notation this figure introduced and the specification does not define — the specification gives materially_ancestral as a predicate and handles its absence through the blocker rule, and the corroborated/asserted/unresolved vocabulary belongs to relation instances rather than to this derived predicate. The branches are now described in the specification's own terms. B2 §5.3.1 governs: every result that interprets an absence must consult B, and this covers the absence of any antecedent required to construct an entry — including a materially ancestral traversal. An unresolved antecedent produces no status entry and carries a blocker, so a downstream finding cannot treat the silence as exclusion.

Rendering note. NO CANDIDATE PATH appears only as an exclusion note. Placing it as a fourth leaf would state a false equivalence with the three per-traversal statuses, which is the error §5.2 records the prior generation making.


Not included: the two-artifact rule

The specification/paper binding is not a Step 7 figure. It derives from the frozen review disposition rather than from B1-B4, and admitting it here would break the architecture these figures exist to preserve:

STEP 7 semantic figures   <- the normative specification
STEP 8 process diagrams   <- governed production records

A category called figure derived from another source would reintroduce the third-transformation problem through a side door. If the binding rule warrants a diagram in the assembled paper, it belongs to Step 8 under the production-requirement ledger.

What these figures deliberately omit

representation branching and Γ construction     no figure; the construction rule
                                                is short and a diagram would
                                                suggest an ordering the rule does
                                                not impose

attachment, propagation and cut geometry        no figure; validation never
                                                evaluated an attachment instance,
                                                so a figure would depict untested
                                                machinery at the same visual
                                                weight as tested machinery

coverage composition, outer to inner            no figure; the composition is a
                                                three-line rule and drawing it
                                                risks implying support flows with
                                                the relation

Omission is recorded rather than left to inference, so a reader can see which parts of the model have no visual account.

Conclusion

MICRM began with a broad attribution problem: machine-initiated consequences can connect material events, authority relationships, accountability paths, contribution classes, and evidence without making those things equivalent. The resulting reference model keeps those dimensions separate long enough to ask what has actually been established at each stage and what evidentiary warrant supports promotion to a finding.

The contribution that remains after related-work analysis is deliberately narrower than the architecture itself. MICRM does not claim novelty for the underlying traditions it draws from. Its contribution is to operationalize those concerns for machine-initiated consequence attribution through explicit interfaces among material consequence structure, authority and accountability closure, class-sensitive candidacy, and evidentiary warrant. The retained design differences do not carry equal attribution strength, and none is presented as a priority claim.

That narrower claim matters because the validation record also sets a hard ceiling on what this revision can establish. Eleven sealed variants across five independently authored patterns exercised selected parts of the formal semantics and exposed twelve rule defects. The process provides a reproducible account of what was tested against which frozen rule bytes and what happened. It does not establish that MICRM is correct. Substantial semantic surface remains untested, including graph behavior under load, end-to-end class behavior, multi-representation candidacy, attachment and propagation, burdens, and the overlay interface.

The privacy and adversarial analysis imposes another boundary. MICRM's evidentiary architecture can create pressure toward increasingly complete records at the same time that those records may contain sensitive information. This revision identifies but does not normatively resolve confidential verification, authorization to inspect sensitive evidence, redaction, disclosure sufficiency, retention and minimization, confidentiality of the evidence spine, or the treatment of persons described by evidence who are not principals. Addressing those questions would require successor normative work and new validation debt rather than silently extending the current specification after its validation state was frozen.

The same discipline applies to substrate claims. MICRM is designed for cross-substrate application, but this revision does not establish substrate neutrality. Applicability therefore remains a substrate-specific validation question. The formalism should earn broader claims through cases that exercise the same semantics in materially different environments, not through a change in wording.

MICRM's current value is consequently not that it resolves accountability. It provides a formal place to distinguish material structure from evidentiary warrant, authority from accountability, candidacy from liability, corroboration from assertion, and unresolvedness from exculpation. Those distinctions make disagreement inspectable. A reader can challenge the consequence structure, the closure relation, the support basis, the coverage claim, the governing assumption, or the promotion step without treating disagreement with one as disagreement with all.

That inspectability is also the standard applied to the paper itself. The specification is normative and the paper is expository. No normative MICRM content exists only here, and disagreement between the two makes the paper defective rather than modifying the specification by implication.

The remaining work is therefore evidentiary, formal, and operational rather than rhetorical. Untested mechanisms need deliberate cases. Cross-substrate applicability needs substrate-specific validation. The privacy gaps need either explicit limitation or successor semantics with their own validation. And the presented specification and paper must be bound to a public, hash-addressable release before the reproduction claim becomes independently executable from the published record.

MICRM did not become smaller as those limits were discovered. Its claims became narrower than its architecture. That is the state in which this revision should be evaluated: a formal reference model with explicit boundaries, a validation record built from independently authored sealed patterns and bounded by substantial untested surface, and a set of open questions stated as open rather than converted into conclusions.

Appendix: Provenance and Reproducibility

1. What this appendix is

Version history and the pointers needed to reproduce the record. Nothing here is evidence for any claim in the paper.

Internal review receipts are not validation evidence. Records of the project's own review cycles — disposition memoranda, generation counts, editing receipts, acceptance-gate runs — establish that a process occurred. They do not establish that its outputs are correct, and they are excluded from the validation chapter for that reason. Where they appear below, they appear as version history.

That exclusion is not a stylistic preference. A model whose semantics reject internally ratified findings as support cannot offer its own internal ratification as support for itself.

2. Artifact versions

The specification is normative and the paper is expository. Where they disagree the specification governs and the paper is defective.

SPECIFICATION, formal semantics
  Block 1   graph and consequence model, D9-D17
  Block 2   root, closure and candidacy, D1-D8
  Block 3   attachment, propagation and exclusion, D18-D24
  Block 4   burdens, classes, conflicts and independence, D25-D30

  each block cites its predecessor generation and the generations it inherits;
  the chain resolves in dependency order B1 -> B2 -> B3 -> B4
PAPER
  related work and differentiation
  validation
  privacy, security and adversarial analysis
  front matter, per the frozen titling decision
GOVERNING RECORDS, cited by the chapters
  Step 0    terminology collision rulings
  Step 2    authorship protocol; sealed fact patterns; derivations
  Step 3    hypothesis register, with dispositions frozen before the prose
  Step 4    consolidated validation record
  Step 5    normative boundary, frozen before the prose
  titling   title, subtitle and substrate-claim decision

The publication archive will identify every artifact named above by SHA-256 with byte count, line count and terminating-newline state. Chapters cite the hashes of the records they transform.

2.1 Archive binding

The assembled paper and the normative specification blocks it cites are bound to a public repository release. This discharges the archive-binding requirement: the review objection identified a missing public repository location, a commit identifier for the presented document, hashed artifacts, a stated hash procedure, and a persistent archive. All five are recorded here.

Repository. https://github.com/larrypeseckis/micrm

Presented commit. da2bafd5af7f600868319e11c22d18aaeddeb0b7

The presented artifacts are the tree at that commit. This section is added in a later commit; the artifacts it binds are those committed at da2bafd5, at the hashes below, and are not altered by the addition of this record.

Hash procedure. SHA-256 over the raw bytes of each file, with byte count, line count, and terminating-newline state recorded alongside. A verifier obtains the file at the presented commit and recomputes the digest over its exact bytes.

Presented artifact hashes.

paper/MICRM-PAPER-PRESENTED-v02.md
  sha256  a7cdc7ebb49760bf893547fef7b70d5caa444d6881e64b4a023e0c4192691d07
  bytes   85213

spec/MICRM-FORMAL-SEMANTICS-BLOCK1-GRAPH-AND-CONSEQUENCE-v01.md
  sha256  3b850a77a1e199a5f5c45b50d85f284353f770fbebb6deb43a53d4d5e9e391c1
  bytes   25260

spec/MICRM-FORMAL-SEMANTICS-BLOCK2-ROOT-CLOSURE-CANDIDACY-v01.md
  sha256  44b780353674c0202e004362e1613dc513c39cf4a0658caac2b4310ce333be64
  bytes   40719

spec/MICRM-FORMAL-SEMANTICS-BLOCK3-ATTACHMENT-PROPAGATION-EXCLUSION-v01.md
  sha256  f5ec01de7e4dfb5d81b7b506e7ceb680f2bfcb1a79376456ffee2f5f66c71cb8
  bytes   28397

spec/MICRM-FORMAL-SEMANTICS-BLOCK4-BURDENS-CLASSES-INDEPENDENCE-v01.md
  sha256  cbae193958c20f9cd01c142cfb18e10881a21b126da4881b884a6cb140a8f1bc
  bytes   56874

This is stated as an established binding rather than a deferred one, because the review objection was specifically that the prior provenance lacked a public repository location, a commit identifier for the presented document, hashed artifacts, a stated hash procedure, and a persistent archive. With the repository, commit, hash procedure, and artifact hashes recorded above, the reproduction procedure in §3 is independently executable from the published release.

3. Reproducing the validation record

1  obtain a sealed fact pattern and verify its hash, byte count, line count and
   terminating newline
2  obtain the rule-byte generations named in the corresponding derivation's input
   section
3  derive without reading the derivation artifact
4  compare route and result, not result alone

Step 4 of that procedure is not a refinement. One sealed variant matched its pre-registered prediction while the predicted mechanism never ran, and a comparison at the level of results alone would have scored it a pass.

4. Superseded artifacts

Superseded generations are retained rather than deleted, and a successor cites its predecessor by hash. Two cases in the record are load-bearing and should not be pruned:

a sealed fact pattern superseded by a successor seal
  both derivations are retained; the earlier one is the witness that the earlier
  pattern was insufficient for the property it was built to test

specification generations superseded by repair
  the earlier bytes are what the earlier derivations ran against, and a
  derivation cannot be reproduced against rules that no longer exist

5. What the archive does not contain

raw conversation transcripts of the authoring process
intermediate drafts between sealed or frozen generations
tool output not cited by a governed record
correspondence

None is required to reproduce any claim in the paper, and none is offered as evidence for one.

6. Standing limitation

The archive is an internal product of the project it documents. Its completeness rests on the project's own account, and no third party has reproduced any artifact or re-derived any finding in it.


Provenance | Version history and pointers; a record that a process occurred is not evidence that its outputs are correct